President: 43.6% Biden; 55.1% Trump
Estimated 25% of ballots left to be counted
In the US House, Pennsylvania is represented by nine Republicans and nine Democrats.
Currently under the control of a 28-21-1 Republican majority (with one independent), 25 of the 50 Pennsylvania State Senate seats are on the ballot in 2020, with six likely battleground seats.
The Pennsylvania State House of Representatives is currently under the control of a 109-93 Republican majority (with one vacancy) but with all 203 members on the ballot, four incumbents defeated in the primary, and 17 additional seats with incumbents not running for re-election, the chamber is poised for a shakeup.
Also on the ballot are the statewide executive offices of Attorney General, Auditor General, and Treasurer, and for voters in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia ballot initiatives that include policing matters.
In the midst of a pandemic, when state and local resources are already strained, Pennsylvania also implemented 2019 changes to its election law, adding layers of complexity to one of the most contentious elections of our history. Plus, partisan groups have already filed more than 20 election-related legal cases, including challenges to how the new mail-in voting option will be handled. The results in Pennsylvania may take several additional days since more than 2.5 million ballots were cast by mail, and some counties did not even begin counting these votes until Wednesday. And, legal challenges continued to be filed even on election day, such as a GOP challenge to Montgomery County’s efforts to assist mail-in voters in fixing problems with their ballots. The Ohio River Valley Institute has published previously about some of the many challenges to voting in Pennsylvania in 2020.
As election officials work to ensure that all votes are counted and all voices are heard, we will be tracking exit polling and other data to better understand what issues motivated voters in rural and suburban southwestern Pennsylvania to turn out for Donald Trump. We will also be looking closely at the narrowing margin between Mr. Trump and Mr. Biden. In 2016, Trump’s margin was 0.7% in the Commonwealth, and the state has an automatic recount provision for any margin within 0.5%.
At stake in the election is not only the presidency, but also Pennsylvania’s 18 US House seats. Among the most important are battleground races for Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, pitting incumbent Scott Perry (R) against challenger and current Pennsylvania Auditor General Eugene DePasquale (D); Pennsylvania’s 17th Congressional District where incumbent Conor Lamb (D) faces Fox News contributor Sean Parnell (R); statewide executive “row” offices of Attorney General, Auditor General, and Treasurer; half of the 50-member State Senate; and all 203 State House seats.